Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey (D) is up 4 points in his Senate reelection bid over Republican rival David McCormick, according to a new survey.
The AARP poll found the incumbent Democrat garnering 49 percent support from likely voters to McCormick’s 45 percent, while 6 percent of likely voters said they were “undecided” or chose someone else.
The Pennsylvania Senate race between Casey and McCormick is one of multiple closely-watched races for the upper chamber this year, with Democrats trying to prevent Republicans from flipping it red.
Republican David McCormick, a candidate for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania, speaks during an event at the Pennsylvania Manufacturers Association offices, March 15, 2024, in Harrisburg. (AP Photo/Marc Levy) / Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., smiles while speaking during an event at AFSCME Council 13 offices, March 14, 2024, in Harrisburg, Pa. (AP Photo/Marc Levy)
In an average of Pennsylvania polls from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Casey is sitting at 47.9 percent support to McCormick’s 43.8 percent.
Pennsylvania isn’t just a key state for possibly determining who controls the Senate in this year’s election — it could also determine who wins the presidency.
The AARP survey found Vice President Harris up by 2 points over former President Trump in the Keystone State, with the vice president earning 49 percent support from likely voters.
According to an average of Pennsylvania polls from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Harris is ahead of Trump in the Keystone by only 0.6 points.
The AARP survey took place Sept. 17-24, featuring 1,398 likely voters, 600 of them being part of a statewide representative sample, as well as 470 likely voters “50 and older” and 328 Black likely voters in the same age range as oversamples.
The statewide representative sample had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
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