Today May 16, 2026, the Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano Netflix fight card is finally here, and prediction markets are already buzzing with action across the entire card. Use Polymarket promo code ALCOM to get in on the markets before the first bell rings.
It’s a blockbuster event that will include two of the most iconic women in the history of combat sports in a long-awaited showdown that will be streamed live on Netflix. But it’s not just the main event, as the full fight card is loaded with compelling matchups that will give bettors and prediction market traders plenty of opportunities to get involved. From the opening bout to the headliner, every fight on the card carries real stakes, and Polymarket has markets live for all of it.
Polymarket promo code ALCOM: Grab a $20 sign-up bonus
Polymarket promo code: ALCOM
Sign-up bonus: $20 in bonus funds
Requirements: Register for an account and deposit $20 or more
Terms and conditions: 18+ and located in the U.S.
Last verified: May 16, 2026
Using the Polymarket promo code ALCOM for instant access and skip the waitlist.
How Polymarket works for Rousey vs Carano Netflix fight
Polymarket operates as a decentralized prediction market where users trade shares in real-world outcomes. Instead of placing a bet with a sportsbook, you’re buying or selling contracts priced between $0 and $1, where the price reflects the crowd’s implied probability of an event occurring.
After being restricted from U.S. users for years, Polymarket was recently unbanned in the United States, meaning this Rousey vs. Carano Netflix fight card marks one of the first major events where American users can jump in without sitting on a waitlist by using the Polymarket promo code ALCOM.
Whether you’re trading the main event winner, round props, or whether a specific undercard fight goes the distance, Polymarket’s interface lets you enter and exit positions in real time as the market shifts with news, weigh-ins, and public sentiment.
Feature
What it means
Orderbook
List of buy and sell offers where traders post their desired price and size.
Common Kalshi/Polymarket terms
Concepts like YES/NO shares, expiration, resolution source, and markets.
Prediction markets vs sportsbooks
Traders set prices by trading with each other, not by betting against a house.
Equivalent odds to prices
A price like 0.62 (62) implies a 62% chance and is a traditional -163 odds
How to claim the Polymarket promo code ALCOM
Getting your Polymarket promo code ALCOM is very easy; just follow the basic step-by-step guide below.
Step-by-step guide
Click on the ‘claim bonus’ button or any of the links on this page
Download the Kalshi app or visit the website to sign up for a new account.
Complete the registration process and upload your ID to verify your details.
Enter the Polymarket promo code ALCOM when prompted.
Select a funding option and make your first-time deposit of at least $20.
Once $20 has been deposited, your account will instantly be added the $20 bonus.
Polymarket featured event for May 15, 2026: Rousey vs Carano Netflix fight
This is Netflix’s first-ever live MMA broadcast, produced by Jake Paul’s Most Valuable Promotions and streamed live from the Intuit Dome in Los Angeles at 9 PM ET tonight. The three featured bouts on the main card have a live Polymarket market attached, making this card a rare intersection of nostalgia, violence, and tradeable probability
Market
Chance
Yes Price
No Price
Ronda Rousey beats Gina Carano
80%
80¢
20¢
Gina Carano beats Ronda Rousey
20%
20¢
80¢
Francis Ngannou beat Philipe Lins
88%
89¢
13¢
Philipe Lins beats Francis Ngannou
12%
13¢
89¢
Nate Diaz beats Mike Perry
39%
40¢
62¢
Mike Perry beats Nate Diaz
61%
62¢
40¢
Disclaimer: Some markets on the Polymarket site are not yet available on the app.
Rousey enters this fight, ending a nine-plus-year hiatus from MMA. Her last bout was a first-round KO loss to Amanda Nunes at UFC 207 in December 2016, and she hasn’t competed since. Carano’s absence is even longer; the former EliteXC standout last fought in 2009, meaning she’s returning after roughly 17 years away from the sport. Both came in under the featherweight limit of 145 lbs (Rousey at 142 lbs, Carano at 141.4 lbs) for a five-round main event.
Rousey built her legacy on elite judo and submission grappling, carrying a 12-2 record (9 submissions, 3 KOs) and was considered arguably the most dominant women’s MMA fighter in history during her prime. Carano (7-1) was always the more well-rounded striker of the two early eras, a former Muay Thai striker who blended punching power with solid wrestling defense, but she was stopped by Cris Cyborg in her only career loss back in 2009. The 80¢ YES price on Rousey reflects that the market trusts her superior MMA credentials and championship pedigree, even after a decade away, far more than it trusts Carano’s largely untested return.
This is the market with the most real trading intrigue on the card in the co-main event between Nate Diaz and Mike Perry. Diaz has been out of MMA since 2023. He pivoted to boxing, beating Jorge Masvidal by majority decision in July 2024, and now comes back to the cage for a 170-pound five-rounder against Perry. Perry, meanwhile, went 6-0 in BKFC since departing MMA in 2021, building a reputation as “The King of Violence” alive before putting the gloves back on for this fight. Stylistically, Perry is the sharper and more dangerous striker, coming off peak BKFC form, while Diaz brings a durable chin, elite jiu-jitsu, and forward pressure that historically wears opponents down late. The market’s 62¢ YES on Perry reflects his more recent combat activity and power advantage, but the 39¢ YES on Diaz is far from a throwaway trade, anyone who has watched Diaz fight knows he gets harder to finish, not easier, as a fight goes on.
Then we have the return of Francis Ngannou, who is the most physically imposing fighter on the entire card, the former UFC heavyweight champion who knocked out Stipe Miocic and defeated Ciryl Gane before leaving for the PFL, where he TKO’d Renan Ferreira in the first round in October 2024, only for the PFL to mutually part ways with him in March 2026. Lins (an American Top Team product) has vowed to “frustrate” Ngannou over five rounds and is banking on his conditioning and wrestling to neutralize The Predator’s one-punch knockout power. The 88¢ YES price on Ngannou is a near-lock market, traders are essentially pricing him as a near-certain winner, though Lins’ five-round game plan introduces at least some non-zero upset risk in the later rounds if the fight somehow gets there.
Note: Event contracts trading involves risk of substantial loss and is not suitable for all investors. Prediction markets content is not intended for individuals located in jurisdictions where it is prohibited.
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